Forecasting Market-wide Gaming Revenue (Win) for the Macau Special Administrative Region

January 25, 2006
By Suzanne R. Mellen, MAI, CRE, FRICS, ISHC , Shannon S. Okada, MAI

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About Suzanne R. Mellen, MAI, CRE, FRICS, ISHC

Suzanne R. Mellen, MAI, CRE, FRICS, ISHC is a Senior Managing Director, based in San Francisco, California. She has been evaluating hotels and other hospitality real estate assets for 40 years, has authored numerous articles, and is a frequent lecturer and expert witness on the valuation of hotels and related issues. Ms. Mellen has a BS degree in Hotel Administration from Cornell University and holds the following designations: MAI (Appraisal Institute), CRE (Counselor of Real Estate), ISHC (International Society of Hospitality Consultants) and FRICS (Fellow of the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors). Contact Suzanne at +1 (415) 268-0351 or [email protected].

About Shannon S. Okada, MAI

Shannon Okada, MAI, Managing Director of Gaming with HVS, is based in Las Vegas, Nevada. His experience includes appraisals and feasibility studies for existing and proposed hotels, resorts, and casinos. He holds a Master of Science degree in Hotel Administration from the University of Nevada Las Vegas, Master of Business Administration and Juris Doctor degrees from Pepperdine University, and a Bachelor of Business Administration degree in Marketing & Management from the University of Hawaii. Contact Shannon at +1 (702) 280-1405 or [email protected].

Summary

Forecasting gaming revenue for the Macau SAR over the next five to seven years will be particularly challenging primarily due to the current extraordinarily high win per unit per day (WPUPD) and the unprecedented anticipated growth in supply.

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