
Conference sentiment reflected that trends may be shifting toward a buyer’s market, which certainly was not the case in 2023 and 2024. Times of market inefficiency have historically created the most opportunity to buy. As one panelist put it, “No risk-it, no biscuit.” Transaction volume is expected to improve in 2025 over 2024 levels, likely led by individual sales and small portfolio transactions. Larger institutional owners may seek to sell assets and may be less focused on large portfolio acquisitions.
Occupancy, ADR, and Profitability Trends
Despite headlines about a decline in consumer confidence, the data is not reflecting a clear change in consumer travel behavior yet, at least for the hotels on the higher end of the product scale. Luxury, upper-upscale, upscale, and upper-midscale products are all experiencing demand growth, while demand is contracting for midscale and economy hotels. Household savings accounts are still well set up to handle some economic uncertainty, and hospitality tends to come back quickly because people see travel as a right to a balanced and fulfilled life.Operationally, as the economic news unfolds, this year’s motto is becoming “Survive 2025,” versus last year’s “Survive until 2025.” With uncertainty looming, panelists encouraged hoteliers to harken back to the pandemic days and operate with a spirit of collaboration. By working together, they can help see each other through this period and whatever it may bring. Operators should be creative in developing and augmenting additional revenue streams. Expanded offerings in the market pantry, experiential packages, up-charges for late check-in and check-out, and parking fees are all opportunities for operators to capture revenue outside of rooms revenues.
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