The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the Las Vegas economy has been extremely harsh given the market’s reliance on visitation and conventions. Following five consecutive years of accommodating more than 42 million visitors, Las Vegas hosted just over 19 million people in 2020 (the lowest number of visitors since 18.1 million in 1989). Continued weak performance is anticipated through the first half of 2021.
Rod Clough, President – Americas, interviewed Dan McCoy, Managing Director and Senior Partner overseeing the U.S. Heartland region, on February 17, 2021, to discuss the current market dynamics and the outlook for recovery.
The COVID-19 global pandemic has significantly impacted lodging markets across the country; however, each submarket has been affected differently, which has largely depended on the supply and demand forces of that submarket. As a renowned leisure destination that has weathered economic downturns and natural/ecological disasters in the past, the Florida Keys has proven to be resilient, and this recovery should be no different.
2020: A year like no other in the Canadian Hotel Industry, a year to capitalize on fine tuning operations to be more efficient for when demand returns in 2021.
Rod Clough, President – Americas, interviewed Kasia Russell, Managing Director and Senior Partner overseeing the U.S. Pacific Northwest region, on February 3, 2021, to discuss the current market dynamics and the outlook for recovery.
Napa Valley’s resiliency and depth of demand has been illustrated year after year, even with the addition of new supply and the recent wildfires. While the Glass Fire and restrictions related to the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic affected the market in 2020, market participants remain confident in Napa Valley’s recovery from the pandemic over the long term, further indicated by developers’ and buyers’ continued interests in the market.
Each year, HVS reviews and analyzes the Canadian hotel lending environment following a comprehensive survey. With the unprecedented change that 2020 has brought, this year’s survey looks to gain clarity on the current lending environment and the overall health of the hotel finance sector across the nation.
Through Q3 2020, RevPar in Canada continues to deteriorate, declining 61% over 2019. Hotels in the luxury segment and those with more than 500 rooms have taken the brunt of the impact. Covid-19 is not affecting markets uniformly across the country. The Okanagan and Northern Ontario markets have fared best with decreases of 33% and 35% while the hardest hit market, Downtown Montreal has a RevPAR decline close to 80%. With the pandemic not slowing, we don’t foresee improvement until the spring.
Before investing millions of Rupees of expensive capital, it is prudent to spend an insignificant fraction of the sum on Feasibility and ROI Studies for a hotel and/or a mixed-use project to help determine the viability of the project. The rapidly evolving consumer behavior and demand fundamentals are expected to make a professionally prepared feasibility study even more critical than ever before.
Since mid-summer, we have re-appraised 140 hotels that we valued in the years and months leading up to the onslaught of the COVID-19 pandemic in March 2020. Not every hotel has lost value, but value declines have predominantly fallen in the range of 15% to 30%.