After a full RevPAR recovery in 2022, recessionary concerns and the capital markets are causing headwinds for the industry. What can hoteliers expect in 2023 and beyond? This article presents our latest forecast and insights.
Southwestern Utah is known for its world-class outdoor recreation offerings, including Zion National Park. However, following the pandemic, the region not only experienced peak demand levels, but also became the first destination market in the world to hold three Ironman Championships within a 13-month period. With the rise in popularity of the region, it has become a focal point for new development.
Commercial real estate financing, particularly related to the hospitality industry, has been in a state of flux as the pendulum of the economy swings towards a correction. This article describes the state of the current hotel lending environment in the U.S.
Following the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, Atlanta has continued to thrive as the commercial locus of the Southeast as well as a major leisure destination. The ongoing expansions of the Georgia World Congress Center Authority campus and Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport, coupled with increases in tourism and commercial development activity, should support continued recovery within the Atlanta lodging market.
After bottoming out from the effects of the pandemic in April 2020 and facing consistent challenges throughout 2020, Cleveland’s hospitality industry has been steadily recovering throughout 2021 and 2022. A full recovery is expected by 2024, led by strong leisure demand and the return of meeting and group demand.
Salt Lake City has historically played second fiddle to larger Rocky Mountain cities such as Denver; however, a new convention hotel, a multimillion-dollar airport expansion, and the state's popularity as a leisure destination in both the summer and winter have elevated Salt Lake City's position from a regional to a national player for hotel investment.
Since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Coastal Maine market, including Portland, has experienced a renaissance of leisure travel. This seasonal drive-to market has remained a stalwart of the New England region, while corporate and group-focused urban cores have been slower to rebound. Pent-up demand has catapulted Coastal Maine markets beyond pre-COVID peaks. This article highlights the market’s triumphs and challenges in recent years.
Boston’s hotel market came up strong in 2022, exceeding expectations. Despite anticipated recessionary impacts in 2023, a full recovery is on the horizon for this market.
Although current capital market terms are putting downward pressure on values, the full impact of these conditions is tempered by the expectation of a return to more favorable terms in the relatively near future. The opportunity to refinance in the near-to-mid term provides an equity investor with a return of a portion of their initial investment, which supports a lower blended discount rate—and higher value—than indicated by a weighted average cost of capital based on current mortgage terms.
Given the high average rates achieved over the last quarter, Nationwide RevPAR is now onpar with 2019 through the month of September. Average rates need to be held firmly to continue onpar as Business Travel and Meeting and Group are not back yet.